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Below is a summary of Econosystems' latest economic forecast for the United States:

 

United States Real Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure Type
Percent Change from Prior Year - Historical and Econosystems Forecast
  Personal Consumption Expenditures       Nonresidential Structures       Nonresidential Equipment and Software       Residential Investment Government Consumption Expenditures  & Gross Investment,             Exports             Imports Real Gross Domestic Product
  % change   
2007 2.3 14.1 3.3 -18.7 1.3 9.3 2.4 1.9
2008 -0.6 6.4 -4.3 -23.9 2.6 6.1 -2.7 -0.3
2009 -1.9 -21.2 -16 -22.2 1.7 -9.4 -13.6 -3.5
2010 1.8 -15.6 8.9 -3.7 0.6 11.1 12.5 2.4
2011 2.5 2.7 11.0 -1.4 -3.1 6.7 4.8 1.8
2012-f 2.0 7.5 5.9 14.4 -1.9 5.2 3.0 1.8
2013-f 3.1 10.8 9.0 12.0 -1.5 8.3 4.3 3.7
Selected Economic Indicators, Historical and Econosystems Forecast
  US $ per Euro Value of the US$, FRB Broad Index* Consumer Price Index, annual average Industrial Production Housing Starts Civilian Unemployment Rate Oil Prices, West Texas Intermediate Dec. avg.
  Dec. average % change from prior yr. Millions Percent $ per barrel
2007 1.46 99.5 2.9 2.6 1.36 4.6 91.73
2008 1.35 108.5 3.8 -3.5 0.91 5.8 41.02
2009 1.46 101.1 -0.3 -11.4 0.55 9.3 74.30
2010 1.32 99.8 1.6 5.4 0.59 9.6 89.04
2011 1.32 100.5 3.1 4.1 0.61 9.0 98.57
2012-f 1.27 100.2 2.1 4.0 0.78 8.0 108.00
2013-f 1.30 99.0 2.8 5.1 0.98 7.2 97.25
*January 1997=100.  A weighted average of the foreign exchange value of the U.S. dollar against the currencies of a broad group of major U.S. trading partners.   For a list of the 26 countries included in the broad index see table 3 of "Indexes of the Foreign Exchange Value of the Dollar," http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/bulletin/2005/winter05_index.pdf

 

PDF Download: International Economic and Market Trends – April 2012

 



Please contact Anne Wenzel at 1-650-233-9613 if you need a customized outlook & analysis written.

 

 


For more insights on the economy, markets and life as an entrepreneur, visit Anne Wenzel’s “Reflections of an Economist” blog.


What's Up, What's Not, in 2011?
(.ppt Download)

Previous economic outlook presentations can be viewed in our archives. 

 


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